Housing boom not over yet: Trass
Monday 5 April 2004
The housing market still has some way to go before the current boom is over, according to Kieran Trass at Hybrid Consulting.
By The Landlord"I don’t see values dropping. In fact, they seem to be strengthening," Trass says, adding that he expects the next lot of figures from Quotable Value should confirm that.
Quotable Value’s latest figures showed its house price index jumped 21.9% in 2003, although it slowed to a 4.9% increase in the December quarter compared with the September quarter’s 7.3% increase.
As well, listings are increasing and sales volumes remain strong. "A lot of investors are still keen to buy, although it’s getting very difficult to buy cash-flow positive properties," he says. "At the end of a boom, there are always a lot of naïve investors who are prepared to forego cash flow for their expected capital gain."
Read More - Opens in a new window
Commenting is closed
Periods of house price decline are rare and "short-lived", says economist Tony Alexander, amid forecasts of a drop of 10%-15% this year.
The Reserve Bank says the commercial property sector is vulnerable to the Covid-19 crisis. But PMG Funds' chief executive believes that while there’ll be short-term pain, the biggest long-term impact will be structural change.
Banks have not relaxed loan-to-value ratio limits for investors, despite the Reserve Bank's move to scrap LVR rules.