Property

Calm heads will do well out of coming months: Newland

Expect the property market to get a serious case of the wobbles over the next few months if the political polls remain tight, says commentator Olly Newland.

Wednesday, May 21st 2014

But he said investors who kept their cool could do well.

“Remember the GFC where the stock markets tanked to levels not seen in decades? The canny investors who bought then have made a killing, and so it could be for our canny investors in the months to come.”

He said some of the topics that could worry the market were the outlook for interest rates, immigration, LVR rules, the prospect of a capital gains tax and a warrant of fitness scheme for rental properties.

"As the elections approach, and the various political parties ramp up their promises and threats, it is very likely that the residential property market may experience some serious wobbles."

Uncertainty about whether there was to be a crackdown on immigration would cause confusion about whether to buy or wait, he said, and the prospect of a capital gains tax coming in with a Labour Government would also cause upheaval.

"What that will do to the market can be imagined. We shall have a split market of 'before' and 'after' and the distortions will be horrendous and lead to some nervousness when the downstream effects are analysed."

LVR restrictions would continue to cause problems until they were lifted, he said. 

"The heat and light the LVR rules have already generated will confuse the market even further over the months ahead. Already there have been stories of young people forced out of the market by what seems unfair treatment and no doubt more of these stories will emerge in the near future."

 

Comments

No comments yet

SBS FirstHome Combo 6.74
Heartland Bank - Online 6.89
Wairarapa Building Society 6.95
Unity 6.99
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special 7.04
ICBC 7.05
China Construction Bank 7.09
BNZ - Classic 7.24
ASB Bank 7.24
ANZ Special 7.24
TSB Special 7.24
Unity First Home Buyer special 6.45
Heartland Bank - Online 6.55
SBS Bank Special 6.69
TSB Special 6.75
Westpac Special 6.75
China Construction Bank 6.75
ICBC 6.75
AIA - Go Home Loans 6.75
ASB Bank 6.75
Unity 6.79
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.79
SBS Bank Special 6.19
ASB Bank 6.39
Westpac Special 6.39
AIA - Go Home Loans 6.39
China Construction Bank 6.40
ICBC 6.49
Kiwibank Special 6.55
BNZ - Classic 6.55
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.55
TSB Special 6.59
SBS Bank 6.79
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19
AIA - Back My Build 6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39
Credit Union Auckland 7.70
ICBC 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99
Pepper Money Essential 8.29
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40
First Credit Union Standard 8.50
Kiwibank 8.50

More Stories

Rate cuts needed to lift mood

Wednesday, April 17th 2024

Rate cuts needed to lift mood

The enthusiasm that followed the change in government, mainly from property investors, has waned as homeowners and buyers hang out for interest rate cuts, says Kiwibank.

Support for regulation

Monday, March 18th 2024

Support for regulation

REINZ has emphasised the need for property management regulation to Parliament’s Social Services and Community Committee.

A better investment market

Thursday, March 14th 2024

A better investment market

“Reinstatement of interest deductibility starting from the new tax year on 1 April brings property investors back in line with every other business in the country, where interest costs are a legitimate deductible expense," Tim Horsbrugh, New Zealand Property Investors Federation (NZPIF) executive committee member says.

[OPINION] Recessionary times

Thursday, March 14th 2024

[OPINION] Recessionary times

It is not the best out there for many businesses and property sector people. Sales are down across the board, our clients’ confidence is falling, and there is a lot of uncertainty.