House Prices

The Risk that Often Isn't Risky

Investing in offshore shares is riskier than investing in New Zealand shares, because of the foreign exchange risk, right? Not necessarily. For many people saving for retirement, it's actually riskier not to invest offshore.

Thursday, December 02nd 2004

Let's start with why an international share investment is sometimes risky. If you invest in offshore shares or an international share fund, and then the value of the Kiwi dollar rises against the currencies in which you're invested, when you finally bring your money back home you will receive less than if the dollar hadn't moved.

The reverse is also true, of course. If the Kiwi falls, you will bring back more. But, given that it's impossible to forecast what the Kiwi will do - and good economists admit that - a lot of investors are reluctant to take foreign exchange risk.

For many people, though, that's only half the picture.

If you're saving for retirement, consider what you will spend your money on after you retire. If, like many New Zealanders, you will live in a mortgage-free home, your accommodation costs will be quite low. You'll need to buy food, of course, and many services, including health and entertainment.

Beyond that, though, you'll probably spend quite a lot on imported goods, including cars, electronic equipment, music, books, clothes and so on. All going well, you're quite likely to also spend a fair bit on overseas travel.

Read More - Opens in a new window

Most Read

Unity First Home Buyer special 4.15
SBS FirstHome Combo 4.29
ICBC 4.49
Kainga Ora 4.59
SBS Bank Special 4.69
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special 4.74
AIA - Go Home Loans 4.75
Unity Special 4.80
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.84
China Construction Bank 4.85
Kiwibank Special 4.95
Kainga Ora 4.95
China Construction Bank 4.95
ICBC 4.99
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.25
Unity Special 5.29
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special 5.29
SBS Bank Special 5.29
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.39
Kiwibank Special 5.39
ASB Bank 5.45
Westpac Special 5.45
SBS Bank Special 5.49
BNZ - Std 5.49
Westpac Special 5.49
ASB Bank 5.59
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.59
ICBC 5.65
Kiwibank Special 5.69
Kainga Ora 5.69
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special 5.89
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.99
TSB Special 5.99
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29
AIA - Back My Build 3.34
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74
CFML 321 Loans 4.20
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.34
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.34
ICBC 5.39
Kainga Ora 5.79
Heartland Bank - Online 5.80
SBS Bank 5.84
Pepper Money Prime 5.99

More Stories

Can the NZ economy grow while house prices stagnate?

Thursday, July 09th 2026

Can the NZ economy grow while house prices stagnate?

The question of whether the New Zealand economy can grow much without a recovery in the housing market remains a live issue.

Thursday, February 19th 2026

RBNZ expects slower house price growth in the current recovery

The Reserve Bank thinks house prices will rise at a much slower pace during the current recovery than they have in past cycles.

Wednesday, January 07th 2026

Queenstown not off the radar for first home buyers

First home buyers are not being deterred by Queenstown’s soaring house prices.

Record levels of first home buyers taking out low deposit loans

Tuesday, December 23rd 2025

Record levels of first home buyers taking out low deposit loans

About half of all first home buyer lending has been done at a less than 20% deposit in recent months.